Pengaruh Tingkat Produksi, Harga Teh, Inflasi dan Kurs Terhadap Volume Ekspor Teh Di Indonesia
Kata Kunci:
tea export volume, tea production, tea price, exchange rate, inflationAbstrak
This research aims to determine the influence of production levels, tea prices, inflation and exchange rates on the volume of tea exports in Indonesia. International trade, especially exports, can drive the national economy and increase foreign exchange earnings. Apart from the level of tea production, the price of tea also determines the level of tea exports in Indonesia. The method used is multiple linear regression the 2000-2020 period. The type of data used in this research is secondary data from the Central Statistics Agency. The research results show partially that the tea production level variable has a coefficient of 5.482 and is not significant, the tea price variable has a coefficient value of 0.202 and significant, the inflation variable has a coefficient of 0.152 and significant, the coefficient value of the exchange rate variable is -0.718 and significant. Meanwhile, simultaneously it shows that all the independent variables of production, price, inflation and exchange rate are able to influence export volume. The determination value obtained was 91.4 percent, variations in the up and down of the tea export volume variable were influenced by production levels, tea prices, inflation and exchange rates and the remaining 8.6 percent was explained by variables outside the model.
Referensi
Adhikary, M., & Maity, S. (2010). India's tea export in the scenario of WTO: an analysis of trend and structural shift. International Journal of Indian Culture and Business Management, 3(2), 162-180.
Adrian D Lubis. 2010. Analisis Faktor Yang Mempengaruhi Kinerja Ekspor Indonesia. Jakarta: Penelitian pada Pusat Penelitian dan Pengembangan Perdagangan Luar Negeri.
Anggia Dewi, M.F. (2020). Pengaruh Jumlah Produksi, Harga Internasional Dan Nilai Tukar Terhadap Ekspor Kertas Indonesia. E- Jurnal EP Unud,9 (8) 1774 – 1803.
Anton Hermanto Gunawan. 1991. Anggaran Pemerintah dan Inflasi. Jakarta: Gramedia Iswardono SP. 1993. Ekonomi Uang dan Bank. Yogyakarta: BPFE.
Arifin, I., & Giana, H. 2009. Membuka Cakrawala Ekonomi. Jakarta: PT. Setia Purna.National University, Arndt-Corden Department of Economics Departmental Working Papers, (2016-07)
Aryanti, Y., Mutathahirin, M., Rahman, I., & Mulyani, R. (2022). Teacher Analysis Study According to Imam Al Ghazali in the Book of Al Adab Fi Al-Din. Ahlussunnah: Journal of Islamic Education, 1(2), 46-58. https://doi.org/10.58485/jie.v1i2.177
Basorudin, M., Rizqi, A., Murdaningrum, S., & Maharani, W. (2019). KAJIAN PERSEBARAN KOMODITAS TEH: PENGEMBANGAN KAWASAN PERKEBUNAN TEH DI PROVINSI JAWA BARAT. Jurnal Sosial Ekonomi Pertanian, 15(3), 205-214.
Boediono . (2014). Seri Sinopsis Pengantar Ilmu Ekonomi No. 5 Ekonomi Makro.
Brigham, K. H., Lumpkin, G. T., Payne, G. T., & Zachary, M. A. (2014). Researching long-term orientation: A validation study and recommendations for future research. Family Business Review, 27(1), 72-88.
Efdison, Zefri. Anggi Nopra Lovaz, Yenilma, Dorris Yadewani, Erni Febrina Harahap. (2023). Pengaruh Harga Dan Kualitas Produk Terhadap Keputusan Pembelian Konsumen Di Kopi NUR.. JISOS, Jurnal Ilmu Sosial, Vol. 2, No.1, Februari 2023. http://bajangjournal.com/index.php/Jisos. P.1293-v1304
Efendi, E., Ramadhani, R., Kamil, R. A., & Rahman, I. (2022). The Effect Of Building The Islamic Character Of Students At Wisma Padang State University. Jurnal Kepemimpinan dan Pengurusan Sekolah, 7(3), 271-280. https://doi.org/10.34125/jkps.v7i3
Ginting, A. M. (2017). Analisis pengaruh ekspor terhadap pertumbuhan ekonomi Indonesia. Buletin Ilmiah Litbang Perdagangan, 11(1), 1-20.
Gregorius, F. (2008). Modern Asatro: Att konstruera etnisk och kulturell identitet. Lund University.
Gucandra, Y., Efendi, E., Mutathahirin, M., & Rahman, I. (2021). Islamic Education as an Instrument of Maqashid Al Syariah: Study of the Thought of Sheikh Sulaiman Ar-Rasuli. Diniyyah Jurnal, 8(2), 1-11. https://doi.org/10.63061/2w811j17
Gunawan, A. 2014. Impor Melonjak Pemerintah Didesak Sektor Teh Nasional. m.bisnis.com/industri/read/20141026/99/267803/impor-melonjak-pemerintah-didesak-s ektor-teh-nasional (Akses 17 Maret 2016).
Gunawan, A. H. (1991). Anggaran pemerintah dan inflasi di Indonesia. Gramedia Pustaka Utama.
Hanum, A. F., Kardi, J., Lestari, M. C. D., Efendi, E., & Rahman, I. (2022). Implementation of Cooperative Games: Strategies to Increase Children's Social Intelligence at an Early Age. Diniyyah Jurnal, 9(2), 70-79. https://doi.org/10.63061/mge8a564
Harahap, Erni Febrina. Luviana. Nurul Huda (2020). Tinjauan Defisit Fiskal, Ekspor, Impor dan Jumlah UMKM Terhadap Pertumbuhan Ekonomi Indonesia; Jurnal Benefita 5(2) Juli 2020 (151-161). DOI:10.22216/jbe.v5i2.4907
Harahap, Erni Febrina. Wahyu Ramadhani. Siti Rahmi. (2019). PENGARUH VOLATILITY KURS, BI 7 DAY REPO RATE DAN INFLASI TERHADAP JUMLAH UANG BEREDAR DI INDONESIA, Menara Ekonomi, ISSN : 2407-8565; E-ISSN: 2579-5295 Volume V No. 3 – Oktober 2019; file:///C:/Users/win%2010/Downloads/1661-3994-1-PB.pdf
Heizer dan renden, 2005. Production and operation management. Penerbit Ally & Bacam. 1990.
Jeray, Jessy. Satria Yoga Putra. Erni Febrina Harahap (2023). Pengaruh Pengangguran, Tenaga Kerja Dan Inflasi Terhadap Pertumbuhan Ekonomi Di Indonesia.. https://jurnal.umsb.ac.id/index.php/menaraekonomi/issue/view/346
Mankiw, N. G., & Reis, R. (2007). Sticky information in general equilibrium. Journal of the European Economic Association, 5(2-3), 603-613
Oktavia, G., Febriani, A., Hasnah, H., Sabrina, V., & Rahman, I. (2024). Enam Metode Menghafal Al-Qur'an Mahasiswa di Perguruan Tinggi Al-Qur'an Indonesia. Jurnal Kepemimpinan dan Pengurusan Sekolah, 9(1), 12-23. https://doi.org/10.34125/jkps.v9i1
Pasaleron, R., Afrianto, A., Junaidi, A., Rahman, I., & Susanti, W. (2023). Problems of Teachers and Students in Learning the Quran. Al-kayyis: Journal of Islamic Education, 1(1), 1-11. http://ojs.stai-bls.ac.id/index.php/ajie/article/view/62
Pasaleron, R., Rahman, I., Fitriani, F., & Irzain, I. (2023). Efek Kecerdasan Intelektual, Emosional, Dan Spiritual Terhadap Akhlak Peserta Didik Di Sekolah Menengah Atas. Al-Ashri: Ilmu-Ilmu Keislaman, 8(2), 71-77. http://ojs.stai-bls.ac.id/index.php/Al-Ashri/article/view/78
Rahmad, A., Rahmi, R., Nakita, D. S., Akbar, Z., & Rahman, R. P. I. (2021). Implementation of Learners' Methods of Memorizing the Qur’an at the Dar El-Iman Indonesia Modern Islamic Boarding School. Islamic Studies, 2622, 741x. http://ijmurhica.ppj.unp.ac.id/index.php/ijmurhica
Rahmah, H., Rahman, I., Nurhapipah, N., Erman, E., & Hasnah, R. (2023). Dinamika Pemikiran Ahlussunnah Wal Jama’ah Dalam Membangun Pemahaman Holistik Terhadap Moderasi Beragama. UNES Journal Of Social and Economics research, 8(1), 027-034.
Rahman, I., Kaema, M. T., Nurhapipah, N., Nelwati, S., Sabri, A., & Rahmanda, R. (2024). Systematic Literature Review: Analysis of Project-based Learning Models from Elementary to High School. Al-Ashri: Ilmu-Ilmu Keislaman, 9(2), 53-66. https://ojs.stai-bls.ac.id/index.php/Al-Ashri/article/view/119
Rahman, I., Kustati, M., & Gusmirawati, G. (2023). Pkm Peningkatan Kompetensi Baca Alqur'an Mahasiswa Unp Melalui Pendekatan Program Tahsin. https://doi.org/10.56670/jcs.v5i2.176
Rahman, I., Kustati, M., & Sepriyanti, N. (2024). Sustainable Development: Implementation of The Talqin Method In Memorizing The Quran. Jurnal Kepemimpinan dan Pengurusan Sekolah, 9(1), 99-108. https://doi.org/10.34125/jkps.v9i1
Rahman, I., Nisa, K., & Saputri, R. E. (2020). Seven Students' Activities: A Case Study on Rumah Tahfidz An-Nur Daily Routine and Memorization Levels. International Journal of Multidisciplinary Research of Higher Education (IJMURHICA), 3(3), 110-120. https://doi.org/10.24036/ijmurhica.v3i3.184
Rahman, I., Zulmuqim, Z., & Masyhudi, F. (2023). Pengaruh Madrasah Nizamiyah Terhadap Perkembangan Pendidikan Islam Dan Ortodoksi Sunni. Unes Journal Of Social and Economics Research, 8(2), 1-14. https://www.ojs.ekasakti.org/index.php/UJSCR/article/view/402
Rasdiany, A. N., Akmal, F., Pasaleron, R., Dafrizal, D., Ningsih, R., & Rahman, I. (2024). Systematic Literature Review: The Impact of Social Competence on Teacher Communication Intelligence. Jurnal Kepemimpinan dan Pengurusan Sekolah, 9(2), 239-251. https://doi.org/10.34125/jkps.v9i2
Sabrina, V., Alias, M. F. B., Lenggogeni, P., Oktavia, G., Asril, Z., & Rahman, I. (2024). Analysis of the Relationship between Self-Regulated Learning and Students' Quran Memorizing Activities in Junior High Schools. Muaddib: International Journal of Islamic Teaching and Learning, 1(1), 40-48. https://doi.org/10.63061/muijte.v1i1.12
Salvatore, D. (1997). Ekonomi Internasional. Jakarta: Erlangga.
Samualson, J, 2001. Ekonomi Makro, Edisi ke-14. Penerbit Erlangga, Jakarta.
Samuelson, Paul A dan Nordhaus, William D. (2001). Ilmu Makro Ekonomi. Jakarta: PT. Media Edukasi.
Samuelson, Paul A dan William D Nordhaus. 2012 Ilmu Makro Ekonomi. Jakarta : PT Media Global Edukasi.
Saputra, W., Rahman, I., Zulmuqim, Z., Zalnur, M., Triana, N., & Mutathahirin, M. (2023). Islamic Personal Development Activities in shaping the Character of Students in Junior High Schools. Nida Al-Qur'an: Jurnal Pengkajian Islam, 4(2), 103-112. https://doi.org/10.63061/jpi.v4i2.25
Yafi, S., Rahman, I., & Ikhsan, R. (2023). Motivasi Belajar Menurut Perspektif al-Qur'an. Cigarskruie: Journal of Educational and Islamic Research, 1(1), 66-79. https://doi.org/10.5281/1eb1e298
